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Boise State vs. Hawaii Prediction, Game Preview

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Boise State vs. Hawaii prediction and game preview. Projecting who wins Saturday night’s matchup between the Broncos and Rainbow Warriors.

When: Saturday, Nov. 12 – 7:00 p.m. ET
Where: Aloha Stadium, Honolulu, Hawaii
TV Broadcast: CBSSN

Boise State (8-1) has seen its only shot at a College Football Playoff berth go out the window. After their first seven games of the season, the Broncos finally fell two weeks ago to Wyoming on the road, 30-28. Sure, Boise State bounced back last weekend with a 45-31 win at home over San Jose State, but it’s highly unlikely it can compete for a national title this season now.

The Rainbow Warriors (4-6) are trying to bust out of a cold spell at the moment. In the last two weeks, Hawaii has dropped back-to-back games to New Mexico, 28-21, and on the road at San Diego State last weekend, 55-0. They had gone 4-2 in their previous six games but still sit in second place in the West division of the Mountain West.

The Broncos lead the all-time series with the Rainbow Warriors, 11-3. Boise State has won the last five matchups with Hawaii, dating back to 2008. Last year’s meeting ended in a 55-0 win for Bryan Harsin’s team in Boise.

What To Know About Boise State

The driving force behind the Broncos’ win over the Spartans was tailback Jeremy McNichols — as he’s been all season. The Boise State halfback ran for 158 yards and two touchdowns on 28 carries. He had a lot of help, though. Alexander Mattison tacked on 100 rushing yards and a score on 18 carries.

Brett Rypien was solid at quarterback as well. He completed 16-of-21 passes for 219 yards with three touchdowns. Two of those scores went to Cedrick Wilson. He caught six balls for 102 yards, which led the team. Chaz Anderson chimed in with three grabs for 53 yards, but it was Alec Dhaenens who reeled in the other touchdown strike from the sophomore quarterback.

What to Know About Hawaii

On the opposite side of the spectrum was Hawaii quarterback Dru Brown. In the loss to San Diego State, he completed 22-of-35 throws for 135 yards and three interceptions. Aaron Zwahlen got a crack at it and connected on 3-of-10 passes for 32 yards and a pick.

John Ursua led the Rainbow Warriors with seven receptions for 41 yards. Marcus Kemp added 34 yards on five grabs, and Dylan Collie reeled in four passes for 30 yards. On the ground, Steven Lakalaka found his way to 40 rushing yards on 14 carries, and Paul Harris added 19 yards on four touches.


Offense: Boise State – McNichols is a beast, and Rypien is a stud at quarterback.

Defense: Boise State – Hawaii is allowing 38.2 points per game, which ranks the Rainbow Warriors at No. 119 in the nation.

Special Teams: Hawaii – Rigoberto Sanchez has yet to miss a kick this season and has totaled 58 points.

Coaching: Boise State – Harsin is a better coach than Nick Rolovich — plain and simple.

Matchup To Watch

Brett Rypien vs. Dru Brown

McNichols is going to get his, but Hawaii has to find a way to get Rypien uncomfortable in the pocket. It has to get some pressure, get him moving sideways and then make plays on the ball. If Rypien can keep his head on straight and spin the ball like he’s capable of doing, he’ll get Boise State out to an early, big lead. On the other side, Brown can’t turn the ball over. Really, neither can afford to turn the ball over, but it really applies to Brown. If the Broncos flip the field on Hawaii, it’s over.

Betting Odds

Spread: Boise State -17.5
Over/Under: 63.5

Boise State vs. Hawaii Prediction

McNichols is one of the most undervalued tailbacks in all of college football, and he’s going to put his skills on display. He’ll run for more than 100 yards once again and add a couple of rushing touchdowns. But he’ll be a big factor in the passing game for Rypien, too. They’ll hook up a few times for about 75 yards and a touchdown, which will be one of the three touchdowns Rypien will throw. Boise State will build up an early lead and never trail in this one, taking home the easy win.

Boise State vs. Hawaii Score Prediction: Boise State 45, Hawaii 28

MORE: 1-128 College Football Rankings – Week 11

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